YARCalc

Analysis and results

Evaluate current yields against retirement cash-flow needs

Compare current safe yields with the retirement spending your portfolio may need to cover.

Open Current Market

Current Market connects today’s yields with future portfolio-funded spending

Current Market uses dated official U.S. Department of the Treasury observations to illustrate how a user-selected defensive allocation might relate to the retirement spending the portfolio must fund. It separates nominal Treasury yields from inflation-protected TIPS yields and shows the source and as-of date so an old market snapshot is not mistaken for a current offer.

The analysis begins with portfolio-funded spending: the amount left after modeled dependable income is applied to spending and taxes. It then asks how many years of those needs a defensive allocation could illustrate covering along the observed yield curve. It does not choose how much stock or fixed income the household should own.

Simulation > Current Market

Use the page only after the retirement cash flow is credible

A yield comparison cannot repair missing spending, an incorrect retirement date, stale balances, or an unrealistic allocation. Confirm the underlying Projection and decide which stock allocation you want to examine before interpreting the ladder.

Read the market-data date and stale or unavailable notices. Treasury observations are reference points, not a guarantee that a specific security is available at that yield when the household acts. If a maturity lacks reliable data, do not interpolate confidence from neighboring rows.

A higher current yield can improve the illustration without making a transaction appropriate. Duration, liquidity, inflation, taxes, reinvestment, account location, and the household’s existing holdings remain part of the decision.

Current Market is available to Subscribers. Free users do not see the analysis action; its absence is an access distinction, not a planning conclusion about their portfolio.

Separate nominal and inflation-protected comparisons

Open Current Market from the Simulation navigation. Confirm the displayed plan and market-data date before entering an allocation.

Enter the stock allocation you want to evaluate; the remainder is treated as defensive assets for the illustration. Confirm that this is your input rather than a recommendation produced by YARCalc.

Read the nominal Treasury view against nominal future spending needs. Read the TIPS view as an inflation-protected comparison that relates real yields to needs adjusted for purchasing power. Do not compare a nominal yield directly with a real spending requirement without accounting for inflation.

Follow the displayed source and as-of date. If the page is being used to prepare a professional discussion, preserve the saved plan, allocation, market date, and spending definition with the output.

Coverage years are an illustration, not a ready-made portfolio

Compare how the defensive amount lines up with the sequence of portfolio-funded needs. A coverage figure can help explain whether near-term liabilities are large relative to the chosen defensive allocation, but it does not show that the exact ladder can be bought or that every cash flow matches a security payment date.

Inspect maturities with missing or stale observations and distinguish nominal from real results. Then compare the illustration with the household’s liquidity needs, account locations, existing holdings, and desired rebalancing path.

If the page suggests a potentially useful structure, use it as a question for Implementation analysis or a qualified professional—not as an order ticket.

The displayed ladder is not executable market advice

The page does not model callable cash flows, and YARCalc does not identify specific securities, executable prices, bid-ask spreads, settlement, inventory, credit loss, transaction costs, tax lots, personalized account location, or a suitable allocation.

Market data can become stale quickly. Confirm current prices, terms, availability, tax consequences, and suitability before any transaction.

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